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UFC Vegas: Dos Anjos vs Fiziev - Jul 9 ??


wandshogun09

Who wins and how?   

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Apex again ?Ā 

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Rafael Dos Anjos vs Rafael FizievĀ 

Caio Borralho vs Armen Petrosyan

Said Nurmagomedov vs Douglas Silva De Andrade

Jared Vanderaa vs Chase Sherman

Aiemann Zahabi vs Ricky Turcios

Michael Johnson vs Jamie Mullarkey

ESPN+/FIGHT PASS PRELIMS Ā 
Cody Brundage vs Tresean Gore

Antonina Shevchenko vs Cortney Casey

David Onama vs Garrett Armfield

Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Karl Roberson

Ronnie Lawrence vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov

Ā 

Thatā€™s the the right bout order, at the moment anyway. This oneā€™s already taken a hit. The co-main was supposed to be Cody Garbrandt vs Rani Yahya but Yahyaā€™s been forced out. Not sure if Garbrandt is gonna stay on the card but if theyā€™re hoping to get a replacement in they better get a move on. Love the main event, letā€™s hope it makes it to the cage this time!

Ā 

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Rafael Dos Anjos vs Rafael Fiziev then. Letā€™s try this again. The Battle Of Rafaels. Thisā€™ll be the third attempt this year to get this fight on. It was originally booked to headline theĀ Feb 19thĀ card but Fiziev had some Visa issues that delayed it. The fight was then rescheduled for the co-main event spot on UFC 272 in March. Fiziev fell out again, this time with COVID. Hopefully itā€™s third time lucky and the fight actually happens this time. Itā€™s such a great fight. One of those cool old vs new clashes but the ā€˜oldā€™ is still a handful and the ā€˜newā€™ is right at that point where they need a breakout fight against an established name, and this could be just that for Fiziev. A win here over a former Lightweight champ would be huge for him and would set him up for a run at the very top of the division. RDAā€™s not gonna be anyoneā€™s pushover though.

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Dos Anjos is a badass. That shouldnā€™t be news to anyone on here. He came into the UFC all the way back in 2008. To put it in perspective how long heā€™s been around, his Octagon debut was on the undercard of Randy Couture vs Brock Lesnar! Feels like a lifetime ago and here we are 14 years later and heā€™s still going strong and taking on all comers. He had his setbacks early on and I donā€™t think the UFC expected much from him but around 2011/12ish something seemed to click and he started putting together a win streak that would ultimately lead him to UFC gold.

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I was a fan from early on but I never imagined heā€™d reach this level. Over an 11 fight stretch between 2012 and 2015, RDA beat the likes of Anthony Pettis, Benson Henderson, Donald Cerrone twice and Nate Diaz, among others. This was when those guys were all in or close to prime form and RDA beat them all convincingly. He also won the title during this run and his only loss in this period came against some sod named Khabib. Make no mistake, for a decent spell there, Dos Anjos was one of the very best Lightweights in the world. Of course, heā€™s older now and his prime years are gone. But heā€™s far from shot and heā€™s shown heā€™s still got some ammo left in the tank. Heā€™s 31-13 now. Had a little slump of losses a while back but that was up at 170 and if you look back, he was fighting the absolute best up at Welterweight and 3 of the 4 losses in that timeframe came against Kamaru Usman, Colby Covington and Leon Edwards! I mean, come on. Since dropping back to 155 heā€™s beat Paul Felder and Renato Moicano on points. And the Moicano one in March was a total beatdown.

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Poor prick. RDA went 5 rounds in both those wins over Felder and Moicano as well. So although heā€™s ageing, heā€™s still got the durability and the engine to go hard in long fights. Heā€™s an iron man. Granted those wins werenā€™t championship calibre or anything. They were both late replacements plus Felder was on the verge of retirement. But RDA could only fight who showed up and I thought his own performances were very strong. Heā€™s got some balls on him as well. When Fiziev dropped out last time in March, RDA was up for facing Islam Makhachev at 170 on really short notice but it never got finalised and thatā€™s when Moicano jumped in. RDA gives no fucks. The clock is ticking on his career now though. The injuries and gaps between fights have started to become a bit more frequent and after a long career you have to think the sand timerā€™s running low now. But here he is, in 2022, still taking on the toughest fights currently availableā€¦

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Fizievā€™s 29 years old, fighting out of Kazakhstan. Came into MMA with a 39-8 record in Kickboxing and has now gone 11-1 in MMA. The only blip being his UFC debut a few years ago. Heā€™s put together a 5 fight streak since then with notable wins over Marc Diakiese, Renato Moicano, Bobby Green and in his last fight he spin kicked Brad Riddell into a state of rigamortisā€¦

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The fucker was knocked out on his feet and just frozen still. Fiziev looks the real deal and as big a fan of RDA as I am, even I have to admit that Fizievā€™s probably the favourite here. Heā€™s younger, coming in confident, with momentum and the timing seems to favour him. Itā€™s one of those fights you just know social media is gonna have down as a squash match as it gets closer. The consensus opinion will likely be that RDAā€™s a lamb to the slaughter here. I wouldnā€™t completely write RDA off here though. Heā€™s got the MMA big match experience, heā€™s more well rounded, has fantastic BJJ, underrated wrestling, has gone 5 rounds a bunch of times, Fizievā€™s never gone past 3. However you chop it up, on paper this is by far Fizievā€™s most difficult test yet. At the same time itā€™s a great opportunity for him to get a boost up the ladder at 155. Again, if you look at RDA, most of his losses in recent years have been at 170 against some of the elite of that division. That might be painting a bit of a distorted picture of his so called decline. None of them were able to stop him inside the distance either. So if Fiziev can beat a guy like RDA, and especially if he can get a finish, itā€™ll be a massive statement and should catapult him right into the title contender mix. Awesome fight. If it happens this time ?

Ā 

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Caio Borralho vs Armen Petrosyan.Ā Seems a bit odd as co-main event because theyā€™re both new in the UFC and Iā€™ve barely seen either but Iā€™m looking forward to it based on the limited footage I have seen. Borralho made his UFC debut back in April after winning a couple of DWCS fights. He faced fellow newcomer Gadzhi Omargadzhiev on the Luque vs Muhammad 2 card and I thought he looked really good. The fight unfortunately ended in controversy due to Borralho landing an illegal knee but, as it was late in the fight, they went to the scorecards and Borralho got the decision. It was a crappy ending to an otherwise strong debut performance. Borralho looked like one of those fighters whoā€™s always on the attack wherever the fight goes. Hopefully he learns to stop the attack when itā€™s illegal though.

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Petrosyan is Armenian, 7-1 with 6 knockouts. Iā€™ve only seen his UFC debut but he managed to get a win over everyoneā€™s favourite Barack Obama lookalike Gregory Rodrigues in that one. Not bad going for your debut. It was a split decision and I remember thinking Rodrigues did enough to win but regardless, Petrosyan got the nod and he held up over 15 minutes and took what Rodrigues dished out so that says heā€™s tough if nothing else. Solid fight. Hopefully we get to see Borralho get a bit of a test here and without the controversy this time.

Ā 

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Said Nurmagomedov vs Douglas Silva De Andrade could be a darkhorse to steal the show actually. Really like this fight. Nurmagomedov is 30 years old with a record of 15-2 and 8 finishes. In the UFC heā€™s gone 4-1 so far with 3 of the 4 wins coming in the first round. And his last 2 fights both ended in under a minute! He battered Mark Striegl to a ground and pound stoppage in 51 seconds, then in January he guillotined Cody Stamann in 47 seconds. He looks promising. His only defeats so far have came against former ACA/ACB/WSOF champ and former UFC fighter Magomed Bibulatov and Raoni Barcelos in the UFC. Both on points. De Andrade should hopefully last a bit longer than his last couple of opponents and give him a test. Heā€™s 36 and a veteran of 33 MMA fights. 28 wins, 22 finishes. Heā€™s coming off a corker against Sergey Morozov at UFC 271 in Februaryā€¦

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De Andrade got the second round finish, choking Morozov all the way out! If you missed it, I urge you to catch up on it. Trust me, you wonā€™t regret it. Genuinely one of my favourite fights so far this year. De Andrade also has notable wins over Marlon Vera (2018) and Renan Barao (2019), although Barao was well shot by that point, and heā€™s been in with Petr Yan and Rob Font. Heā€™s no world champion in waiting or anything but heā€™s tough, dangerous, experienced and battle tested. If Nurmagomedov blows through him like he has his last 2 opponents Iā€™ll be as impressed as Iā€™ll be surprised. Should be good though.

Ā 

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Jared Vanderaa vs Chase Sherman is your typical Heavyweight sloppy offering. No Fight Night card would be complete without one. Weā€™ve had worse than this but itā€™s still not great. Vanderaaā€™s 30 years old with a record of 12-8 and heā€™s coming off 3 straight losses. He got strangled in a round by Alexey Oleynik last time out in April. Itā€™s really not working out for him. Seems to bleed buckets every other fight as well. Shermanā€™s 32 with a 15-10 record and has lost his last 4 in a row. He got subbed in a round in January by sodding Jake Collier of all people, and the UFC sacked him following that one. But he got his foot back in the door just days after being released when he stepped in as a last minute replacement against Alexandr Romanov in April. That went about as well as expected for him and he got suplexed on his head and was tapping to a keylock in about 2 minutes. Loser of this should probably hit the road.

Ā 

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Aiemann Zahabi vs Ricky Turcios. Not bad. Iā€™m not too fussed about Zahabi, to be honest. He came in a few years ago with a little bit of buzz but looking back it was probably just the curiosity factor of seeing the brother of a top MMA coach in there. Heā€™s not bad but he definitely wasnā€™t the prospect many thought he was. Heā€™s 34 now as well. Not exactly on the scrap heap but no spring chicken either. Heā€™s 8-2 and scored a first round knockout against Drako Rodriguez in his last fight. That was over a year ago now though and heā€™d lost his 2 previous fights and had big gaps between both of them. Heā€™s only fought 3 times in the last 5 years for some reason. I get the feeling heā€™s being lined up as cannon fodder for this guyā€¦

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Turcios is 29 with a record of 11-2 and 4 finishes. He won The Ultimate Fighter Bantamweight tournament back in August, beating Brady Hiestand by split decision in the finals in a really exciting fight. Thatā€™s the only fight Iā€™ve seen of him but I remember reading and hearing good things about him going into that final. If the Hiestand fight is typical of his style then heā€™s gonna be a lot of fun to follow as his career progresses. Not sure quite how good he is yet because I didnā€™t know anything about Hiestand either. Iā€™m not sure how to properly rate that performance other than it was entertaining to watch. But Iā€™m guessing the UFC have chosen Zahabi for a reason here. Weā€™ll see if it backfires or not but Iā€™d like Turcios to win. I enjoyed the one fight Iā€™ve seen of his more than anything Iā€™ve seen from Zahabiā€™s Ariel Helwani looking arse anyway.

Ā 

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Michael Johnson vs Jamie Mullarkey is another fight that has a high chance of bagging FOTN honours. You just never know what youā€™re getting out of Michael Johnson though. The man who beat Dustin Poirier, Tony Ferguson, Edson Barboza and Joe Lauzonā€¦but also lost to Darren Elkins, Thiago Moises, Stevie Ray and Clay Guida. I donā€™t mean that as a knock on any of those guys either. All good fighters but I just feel like MJ has always had the talent to go further than he has. But in a bunch of fights, heā€™s had a knack for losing from a winning position. Heā€™s 20-17 now, for fuckā€™s sake. When heā€™s on heā€™s way better than that record suggests. But you never know if heā€™s gonna show up on the night. He did snap a shitty 4 fight losing streak in his last fight, knocking out Alan Patrick in May. So weā€™ll see how this goes. But if heā€™s gonna get another W here, heā€™s gonna have to come ready for war because Mullarkey loves a scrap. He instantly made a fan of me with his UFC debut against Brad Riddell back in 2019. It was my first time seeing both and they just threw down for 15 minutes in a wild FOTN slobberknocker. Heā€™s had mixed results since but he always shows up ready for battle and thatā€™s one thing you canā€™t always count on when it comes to Johnson. If Johnson is up for this, and I think he will be coming off that elusive win last time, this should be fireworks for however long it goes.

Ā 

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Cody Brundage vs Tresean Gore. Iā€™ll give it a whirl. Canā€™t say I recall much about Brundage. Heā€™s 7-2, lost a decision to Nick Maximov in his UFC debut, subbed Dalcha Lungiambula in his last fight in March. I think I saw the Maximov fight but I have zero recollection of anything Brundage did. Gore is the reason to tune in for this one. He was on the last season of TUF. I didnā€™t watch it but I remember quite a buzz surrounding him coming off the show. He was all set to face Bryan Battle in the finals but had to pull out. The fight finally happened in February and I was excited to see what the fuss was about. But Battle won a decision and Gore just looked very average to me. He clearly packs a punch but whether it was the old ā€˜Octagon jittersā€™ or what, he just never pulled the trigger on the night and he got outworked. Maybe thereā€™s better to come but as a first impression, as Nick Diaz would say I felt like Iā€™d been sold wolf tickets. Heā€™s only had 4 pro fights as well, 3-1 now after the Battle loss. A lot of the hype felt quite premature to me but weā€™ll see how he bounces back from that first loss here.

Ā 

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Antonina Shevchenko vs Cortney Casey. Might be alright but Iā€™m not expecting too much out of it, to be honest. I quite like Shevchenko but sheā€™s always gonna be compared to her sister and sheā€™s obviously leagues and leagues below that. Like Val, she fought a bunch in Kickboxing and I think she probably left the full time move to MMA a bit late to really make a go of it. She dabbled a bit as far back as the early 2000s but never fully committed until 2017. Sheā€™s 37 now with a record of 9-4 and has been finished by Andrea Lee and Casey Oā€™Neill in her last two outings. Casey isnā€™t much younger at 35, has gone a dismal 10-9 over a 7 year run in the UFC and I barely remember any of it. She does actually have a couple of alright wins over Angela Hill and Randa Markos and a few split decisions have gone against her. Maybe sheā€™s a little bit better than her record makes her look but if she was that good Iā€™d recall something about her surely. This is one Shev should still be able to win but I canā€™t say I have a lot of confidence in her at this stage unfortunately.

Ā 

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David Onama vs Garrett Armfield. Last minute thing here. Onama was supposed to face Austin Lingo on this card, which I was looking forward to and kind of expecting to be the sleeper for FOTN. Lingoā€™s out. In steps Armfield, making his UFC debut on mega short notice. Heā€™s 8-2 with all his wins coming inside the distance. And Onamaā€™s made a fan of me in just 2 UFC appearances. He made his debut in October, stepping in on late notice against Mason Jones, lost on points but didnā€™t disgrace himself at all and gave Jones all he could handle. Then in February he dropped to 145 and sparked Gabriel Benitez. Heā€™s 9-1 with 8 finishes now. The only loss being that Jones fight, which he took on short notice and up a weight class. An interesting little twist here is that these guys have actually fought before. Back in February 2018, they squared off in both mensā€™ final amateur bout. Onama won by decision. Pretty cool that theyā€™ve come full circle and are rematching now on the big stage.

Ā 

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Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Karl Roberson might be worth a gander. Iā€™ve became a bit of a Nzechukwu fan over the last year or so. Heā€™s 29 years old and 9-3 now. Heā€™ll never be a contender, even in a weird division like LHW, but those couple of come from behind knockouts against Carlos Ulberg and Danilo Marques last year made a fan out of me. Itā€™s gone a bit wonky since and heā€™s lost his last 2 fights so Iā€™d like to see him get back on the right track here. Roberson is 31 with a record of 9-5 and has lost and been finished in his last 3 fights. In fairness to him, a few of his losses have been to very strong opposition but thatā€™s the game. He got completely brutalised by Khalil Rountree last time out. You might remember Rountree just volleying the absolute shite out of him with Chute Boxe style kicks to the ribs while he was on the ground. Iā€™d have stayed home forever after that so fair play to him getting back on the horse. I feel harsh hoping for his downfall again here but Iā€™m not about to be rooting against Nzechukwu.

Ā 

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Ronnie Lawrence vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov. Iā€™m giving this the old ***WANDā€™S ONE TO WATCH***Ā spotlight. Not like weā€™re spoilt for choice on this card but I do like the sound of this. Didnā€™t even know it was booked until now. Crazy how this is jerking the curtain while Vanderaa vs Sherman has a main card spot. Make it make sense. Anyway,Ā Lawrence is another DWCS guy who I think ZebraKidMark brought to my attention. Heā€™s 30 years old, trains at ATT and is currently 8-1 with 4 knockouts. Iā€™ve only seen his 2 UFC fights so far and already heā€™s must see TV for me. He got a late TKO over Vince Cachero in his debut last year and looked great. Then had a year of delays and injuries before his next fight at UFC 271 in February. And him and Mana Martinez went out and almost stole the show.

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Awesome fight. I say ā€œalmost stole the showā€ because I think I rated the De Andrade vs Morozov fight slightly better on the night but this was another tremendous back and forth battle.Ā Lawrence certainly didnā€™t have it all his own way but he came through with the decision victory in the end. Iā€™m slightly less familiar with Kakhramonov. Iā€™ve highlighted this fight mostly because of Lawrence. But Kakhramonov could be one to keep an eye on in his own right. Heā€™s 26 years old, 9-2 with 7 inside the distance and submitted Trevin Jones in his UFC debut last August. Heā€™s finished his last 3 fights and one of his only 2 losses was a decision defeat against Umar Nurmagomedov in the PFL back in 2018. Maybe theyā€™ll meet again in the UFC somewhere down the road. Good stuff here.


Ā 

Not bad at all. At first glance it looks like a one match show but there is some good stuff if you dig around a bit. Fights like Nurmagomedov vs De Andrade, Johnson vs Mullarkey, Lawrence vs Kakhramonov and the Turcios and Borralho fights are perfect for a Fight Night. If anything is making it look weak itā€™s that Calvillo vs Nunes fight currently being so high up the card. But once the card is shuffled up itā€™ll probably all fall into place. Only problem here is, names wise, RDA vs Fiziev is 100% carrying the load here and if that fight falls off againā€¦no, I donā€™t even wanna think about it. Third time lucky ?

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Edited by wandshogun09
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As I always say about the Apex contenders shows, as long as there's a decent main event I'm in. I don't expect much else from the rest of the card on these shows, so the fact there's a few decent fights elsewhere is a nice bonus.

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Iā€™m sure itā€™s gonna ruin everyoneā€™s Saturday but the Cynthia Calvillo vs Nina Nunes fight has been binned. Zahabi vs Turcios has been moved to the main card, which is a better fit anyway to me.

Hopefully the final bout orderā€¦

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It saddens me that Iā€™ve gone with Fiziev by stoppage in the poll. Nothing even against Fiziev, Iā€™m a fan and this would be a big breakthrough win for him but itā€™d be bittersweet that it has to come at the expense of RDA.Ā 

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