RancidPunx Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 (edited) A few years back I occasionally had to drive this 50 year old women for about 2 ours a day.. To/from work type thing. She is generally fine. Chatty but fine.. This conversation takes place in about May In Ireland. Me : It was a nice day Saturday Her : Yeah it was 43 degrees Me : What? Are you sure it was that warm ? I don’t think it was . Her : Yeah it was 43 degrees on Saturday. It was showing up on the electronic sign/clock outside the chemist … Me : Oh right, still 43 degrees would have been fierce warm. People would have been too warm to work , everybody would have gotten sunburnt etc.. Besides it would have been all over the news and media …. Her : (Insisting) : No, No. it was definitely 43 degrees on Saturday, it was up on the sign and thats never wrong… This was in the era before smart phones unfortunately, but for about 40 minutes i could not get it across to her that it was in no way even close to being that warm. She wouldn’t back down or entertain the idea that the fucking sign might have been wrong !!! Wiki tells me that hottest day ever recorded in Ireland was 33.3 degrees in 1887 btw… In reality it was about 18-20 degrees that day. Fuck me, i dont think i ever been so stressed getting out of a car… Edited December 2, 2021 by RancidPunx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paid Members Devon Malcolm Posted December 2, 2021 Paid Members Share Posted December 2, 2021 The UKFF takes this topic as a personal attack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paid Members air_raid Posted December 3, 2021 Paid Members Share Posted December 3, 2021 I once got quite angry at a mate about it being Spudgum rather than Spudgun. He reminds me of this stupidity every time I purport to be sure of anything. He’s right to. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperBacon Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 I once nearly came to punches with a mate as he was constantly slagging off The Coral one night. I DON'T EVEN FUCKING LIKE THE CORAL. He was just winding me right up with the way he was talking. Its made me angry just thinking about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sphinx Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 My mate was picking lottery numbers and chose numbers 1 through 7. I scoffed at it and said why would you do that when there's obviously less chance of them coming out. He took the piss, I defended my point until he said how they're just the same balls with numbers on. The penny dropped and I sheepishly backed down and I took on some more piss taking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 21 minutes ago, Sphinx said: My mate was picking lottery numbers and chose numbers 1 through 7. I scoffed at it and said why would you do that when there's obviously less chance of them coming out. He took the piss, I defended my point until he said how they're just the same balls with numbers on. The penny dropped and I sheepishly backed down and I took on some more piss taking. Take solace in the likely fact that if he does win with such an obvious pattern of numbers, the jackpot will be split more ways than with a more hodgepodge selection. Imagine netting only a couple hundred grand. Gutted for him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paid Members Tommy! Posted December 3, 2021 Paid Members Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Sphinx said: My mate was picking lottery numbers and chose numbers 1 through 7. I scoffed at it and said why would you do that when there's obviously less chance of them coming out. He took the piss, I defended my point until he said how they're just the same balls with numbers on. The penny dropped and I sheepishly backed down and I took on some more piss taking. I'm not mathematics wizz but I always thought it depends on the branch of probability theory, if you picked 10 balls out of a bag of 20 the odds of get 10 in the range 1 - 10 is lower than having a mixed ratio, but the odds of ball 2 being one of your balls is also 1:19 like any other. You then have the odds of ball 10 being a neighbor to another ball Vs it not. Again I'm no maths wizz, but I've always thought you could both prove and disprove both points depending on the statistical approach. I await correcting by some one who knows about this or a copy job from wiki being passed off as knowledge by some cunt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paid Members Your Fight Site Posted December 3, 2021 Paid Members Share Posted December 3, 2021 56 minutes ago, Tommy! said: I'm not mathematics wizz but I always thought it depends on the branch of probability theory, if you picked 10 balls out of a bag of 20 the odds of get 10 in the range 1 - 10 is lower than having a mixed ratio, but the odds of ball 2 being one of your balls is also 1:19 like any other. You then have the odds of ball 10 being a neighbor to another ball Vs it not. Again I'm no maths wizz, but I've always thought you could both prove and disprove both points depending on the statistical approach. I await correcting by some one who knows about this or a copy job from wiki being passed off as knowledge by some cunt. My uneducated take would be that the combination 1 through 7 being drawn is just as likely from a statistical standpoint as any other combination. It’s just seven balls from a pool of whatever the Lottery uses these days. So I think there would be two events you’d be looking at the possibilities here. What is the possibility of getting 1–7 (or any other run of numbers)? The same as drawing any other combination. But the chance of drawing a run like that versus the chance of drawing a spaced-out run of numbers is lesser, because there are far more non-sequential combinations as there are sequential combinations. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paid Members FLips Posted December 3, 2021 Paid Members Share Posted December 3, 2021 (edited) I didn’t speak to a friend from 2009 to about 2014 because he argued that Splinter Cell Conviction was going to be a bigger release than The Beatles Rock Band. It got unnecessarily heated. The first thing I showed him when we caught up again was how much better Beatles Rock Band did. Edited December 3, 2021 by FelatioLips Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Chest Rockwell Posted December 3, 2021 Moderators Share Posted December 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Your Fight Site said: My uneducated take would be that the combination 1 through 7 being drawn is just as likely from a statistical standpoint as any other combination. It’s just seven balls from a pool of whatever the Lottery uses these days. So I think there would be two events you’d be looking at the possibilities here. What is the possibility of getting 1–7 (or any other run of numbers)? The same as drawing any other combination. But the chance of drawing a run like that versus the chance of drawing a spaced-out run of numbers is lesser, because there are far more non-sequential combinations as there are sequential combinations. Yeah I think ultimately the relevant point is the difference in probability between getting any random 7 numbers, or 7 specific numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paid Members Accident Prone Posted December 3, 2021 Paid Members Share Posted December 3, 2021 (edited) Me and my mate got into a heated argument around martial arts film, 'Ong-Bak'. This is around 2008/2009. The front of the DVD has the tagline, "No computer graphics. No stunt doubles. No strings attached". Obviously, this is to sell the incredible fight scenes and stunt work. Near the end of the film though, there's this edit where an animals eyes are layered on top of the protagonist's eyes (a tiger's eyes or a lion's eyes or something) to signal "OH SHIT, HE'S MAD NOW, HE'S GOING TO THE NEXT LEVEL OF ASS KICKING, LET'S FUCKING GO!" and it sparked this stupid, endless fucking argument about whether or not the DVD tagline had lied to us. I was on the side of "No c'mon, don't be a pedantic dick, it was alluding to the action scenes", and he was on the side of, " This film sucked because it couldn't hold up it's guarantee!". Either way, we were in a foul mood with each other all fucking night, straight through to the pubs and clubs afterwards and back to his place in the early hours where I slept on the sofa in drunken rage. Edited December 3, 2021 by Accident Prone Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators neil Posted December 3, 2021 Moderators Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 hours ago, Your Fight Site said: My uneducated take would be that the combination 1 through 7 being drawn is just as likely from a statistical standpoint as any other combination. It’s just seven balls from a pool of whatever the Lottery uses these days. So I think there would be two events you’d be looking at the possibilities here. What is the possibility of getting 1–7 (or any other run of numbers)? The same as drawing any other combination. But the chance of drawing a run like that versus the chance of drawing a spaced-out run of numbers is lesser, because there are far more non-sequential combinations as there are sequential combinations. If you mean the two events are whether you get 1-7 in any order vs getting 1-7 pulled in sequential order then yes they are two events (permutation and combination). But as far as the probability of getting 1-7 in any order is the same as getting "1,2,3,4,5,6,10" in any order. Now if you factor in how lotteries work in terms of a shared jackpot then you'd probably not want to do 1-7 as there are probably more people picking those numbers (as a laff) thus reducing your payout should that rare combination come up. Back on topic, one great argument I've had related to the above was after explaining this to an old relative them going "yeah well if thats the case how come its never happened eh?". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith Houchen Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 @David, anything you’d like to add? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Just now, Keith Houchen said: @David, anything you’d like to add? Personally? No. I did, however, have to sit on a bus from Glasgow one night after the pub listening to two berks argue about who was "the most dangerous man in the world." One chap believed it was Ken Shamrock. The other? Saddam Hussein. That was an argument no one can win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wordsfromlee Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 A couple of weeks ago I spent the day before my wedding arguing with my Dad because he refused to go for a meal at an Italian restaurant as he thought pasta was "pointless". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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