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UFC Vegas: Rozenstruik vs Sakai - Jun 5 šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø


wandshogun09

Who wins and how?   

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Saturday 5th June weā€™re back in Las Vegas. The Heavyweights are getting the spotlight, whether we like it or not.

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Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Augusto SakaiĀ 

Walt Harris vs Marcin Tybura

Roman Dolidze vs Laureano Staropoli

Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Miguel Baeza

Dusko Todorovic vs Gregory Rodrigues

Tom Breese vs Antonio Arroyo

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Montana De La Rosa vs Ariane LipskiĀ 

Tanner Boser vs Ilir LatifiĀ 

Francisco Trinaldo vs Muslim Salikhov

Makwan Amirkhani vs Kamuela Kirk

Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones

Manon Fiorot vs Tabatha Ricci

Youssef Zalal vs Sean Woodson

Claudio Puelles vs Jordan LeavittĀ 

Ā 

Quite like this actually. Could be hit and miss with so much Heavyweight stuff on there but Iā€™ll roll with it. Thereā€™s a few sneaky good fights lower down the card asĀ well, enough there to sink your teeth into until the mega stacked 263 the following week anyway.

Ā 

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Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Augusto Sakai. OK, Iā€™ll get it right out the way, this has a decent chance of being a fucking dud. We know this. Itā€™s Heavyweight MMA and itā€™s a 5 rounder. Thereā€™s always the chance and the risk that these guys fail to knock each other out early and it just goes to shite from about the midway point of the second round on. Rozeyā€™s usually great to watch but heā€™s one dimensional and his last fight with Gane wasnā€™t the best. He just got shut down and jabbed to fuck the whole fight. And Sakaiā€™s fight with Cheick Kongo in Bellator was terrible. So terrible that it single handedly soured me on anything Sakai did for a few years after. BUT...the positives. I think itā€™s more likely this exceeds expectations. Rozenstruikā€™s a finisher. 11-2 in MMA, 10 knockouts, 7 inside a round, 3 in under a minute. In Kickboxing he went 76-8-1, 64 by knockout. So yeah, not typically a boring fighter at all! And in fairness to Sakai, that Kongo snoozer was probably more Kongoā€™s fault. Forget the crazy one rounder with Pat Barry. The exception to the rule. Anyone who suffered through Kongo vs Cro Cop, Kongo vs Shawn Jordan or Kongo vs Carmelo Marrero (to name just a few) knows heā€™s got form for dragging guys to the worst fight of their career. Sakai won 6 on the trot after getting Kongoā€™d, including wins over Arlovski, Tybura and Ivanov. He headlined with Overeem in September and got stopped late but it was an excellent fight and finally redeemed him in my eyes. Iā€™ve done a dodgy job of hyping this one, I know. Might be fun, might be utter cack. Thatā€™s Heavyweight MMA and itā€™s part of the charm.

Ā 

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Walt Harris vs Marcin Tybura. More Heavyweights. I donā€™t mind this matchup either actually. Harris turns 38 a few days after this show. He has a 13-9-0-1 record, all 13 of his wins came via knockout. Is that the most typical Heavyweight MMA record youā€™ve ever seen or what? Almost as many losses as wins but the wins all came about by separating sods from consciousness. Heā€™s been stopped himself in his last 2 fights though, by Overeem and Volkov. I like Walt but I think itā€™s clear heā€™s out of his depth in there with the top guys. Even though he did have Overeem reeling early on, Reem was smart and experienced enough to ride it and come out the other side. And Harris just wasnā€™t equipped to hang in there after his initial blitz failed. That fight was his return after his daughterā€™s murder so itā€™s understandable he blew his energy early. Sadly, I just donā€™t see him doing much more than he has. Heā€™ll knock guys out but at a certain level, he just wonā€™t cut it beyond that.Ā And Iā€™m not sure where that level begins and ends. Tybura is no pushover himself, as Shitehawk Greg found out in December.

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šŸ˜Š

Beautiful. Tyburaā€™s decent. 21-6 record, won his last 4, has wins over Arlovski, Rothwell, Spivak etc. Went 5 rounds with Werdum a few years ago. Solid everywhere. Heā€™s been knocked out a few times though, and thatā€™s making this interesting to me. Because Walt Harris can fuck you up quick, especially when heā€™s fresh. He put Oleynik out in 12 seconds and Spivak out in 50 seconds in consecutive fights. He doesnā€™t play around. If Tybura can get through the first round I think heā€™ll take over but itā€™s easier said than done.

Ā 

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Roman Dolidze vs Laureano Staropoli. Decent fight this. Dolidze is 32 years old out of Georgia with a record of 8-1. Havenā€™t seen a ton of him but he came in undefeated with all finishes and then stopped Khadis Ibragimov in a round in his debut. Really looked the part. Itā€™s kind of died off a bit though. He won an uninspiring split decision in his next fight and dropped down to Middleweight to fight Trevin Giles in March. And lost on points. His first defeat so itā€™s not the end of the world, obviously. But still, a stumbling block. Weā€™ll see how he responds here. But heā€™s not gotten any favours. Staropoli is 28, Argentinian and 9-3 in MMA. Hasnā€™t set the world alight and heā€™s coming off 2 points losses. But they were against Tim Means and Muslim Salikhov who are both tough and a tad underrated IMO. He did beat Thiago Alves in a fun scrap back in 2019. Not sure about the new bleached hair look, itā€™s all the rage in MMA lately, isnā€™t it? Itā€™s not worked too badly for Charles Oliveira and Derek Brunson though so who am I to judge?

Ā 

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Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Miguel Baeza is this cardā€™s ***WANDā€™S ONE TO WATCH***Ā and itā€™s a cracker. Canā€™t go wrong with this. Ponz got done in a round in January by Li Jingliang but heā€™d been out over 2 years going into that one so itā€™s possible he was a bit rusty. Before the layoff he was on some run. A 7 fight streak and heā€™d just knocked out Neil Magny in front of his home crowd in Argentina. It was a cool moment for him and really shouldā€™ve been his coming out party and the win that catapulted him into that upper bracket of Welterweights. But he disappeared for 2 years. Staph infection and Iā€™m guessing some injuries were to blame. Right when he was on the cusp of breaking into that title mix. Couldnā€™t have came at a worse time. His return couldnā€™t have gone much worse either. Weā€™ll see how he looks here. The cobwebs should be gone now but heā€™s in with one of the more promising new faces on the roster for me at 170. Miguel Baeza AKA ā€˜Caramel Thunderā€™. OK his nickname game needs work but in the cage heā€™sĀ looked the business so far. UndefeatedĀ at 10-0, 8 finishes, 7 by knockout.

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There he is putting Matt Brown to bed. He followed that up with a submission over Takashi Sato in his last fight. He looks the part so far. Not sure how far he can go but so far, so good. Still only 28 as well. If Ponzinibbio isnā€™t sharp and on his game here, I could see him getting sat down again, to be honest. But Ponz is always dangerous. Canā€™t see this being anything less than chaos. Itā€™s a step up for Baeza but he might be catching Ponzy at a good time. Weā€™ll see.

Ā 

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Dusko Todorovic vs Gregory Rodrigues. OK this was meant to be Todorovic vs Maki Pitolo but Pitoloā€™s off the card. Glad theyā€™ve managed to keep Todorovic on here. Heā€™s been fun to watch so far. Doesnā€™t fuck about. 10-1 with 9 finishes, bashed up Dequan Townsend in his UFC debut and also has a first round stoppage over Michel Pereira on his record from 2018 in his native Serbia. Heā€™s coming off his first loss here. Fellow unbeaten prospect Punahele Soriano TKOā€™d him in a round in January. But it was one of those shootouts that you felt couldā€™ve gone either way, Soriano just connected sooner and cleaner. With Pitolo out, in steps Gregory ā€˜Robocopā€™ Rodrigues. Looks more like Barack Obama to me.

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That was literally just days ago. He knocked the guy out to become the LFA Middleweight champion just last Friday the 21st May. He got the call and here we go. Heā€™s 29 years old from Rio De Janeiro, Brazil and isĀ 9-3 with 8 finishes. Quick glance at his record tells me he hasnā€™t beat anyone of note yet and apparently he was on DWCS at some point and failed to secure the contract. Still, heā€™s riding some momentum now coming off that KO in LFA. Big opportunity for him here but heā€™s in with a dangerous guy with heavy hands. Going off both guysā€™ records and finish rates, this isnā€™t likely going the distance. Which means Iā€™ve probably just jinxed it and weā€™re getting a dull razor close decision now.

Ā 

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Tom Breese vs Antonio Arroyo. Not sure how this goes but Iā€™m pulling for my fellow Brummie Breese. I like him but he isnā€™t half inconsistent. He had that big spell of inactivity a few years back and since then heā€™s been on a win one/lose one merry go round. Got stopped by Brendan Allen last February, bounced back with a sweet jab knockdown TKO over KB Bhullar in October, but then got subbed by Omari Akhmedov in January. So going on that form, heā€™s due a win. Who knows though? Itā€™s been a bit of a stop/start and up and down few years with him but at least, touch wood, heā€™s been able to fight more regularly of late. Canā€™t say I recall much of Arroyo. Quick glance at his record tells me heā€™s 9-4 with 8 finishes and heā€™s coming off back-to-back decision losses to Deron Winn and Andre Muniz. On paper, this sounds like a fight Breese should win to me but Iā€™m done getting my hopes up.

Ā 

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Montana De La Rosa vs Ariane Lipski. Not fussed really. Neither are bad fighters, their fights just donā€™t really interest me. De La Rosa is 26 with an 11-6-1 record. She went to a draw with Mayra Bueno Silva last time out but it wouldā€™ve been a loss if Silva never had a point docked for fence grabbing. My main memory of that fight though, isĀ De La Rosaā€™s eye afterwards...

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Gross. The kind of eye swelling youā€™d see in a Rocky film and laugh at how over the top the makeup was. Anyway yeah, sheā€™s not terrible or anything but Iā€™m not really convinced. Sheā€™s lost pretty much every single time sheā€™s gone up against someone with something about them. Her best wins to date are Mara Romero Borella and Rachael Ostovich, so yeah, not a glittering CV. Lipski is 27, Brazilian with Polish heritage and has a 13-6 record. Hasnā€™t really had any standout wins but she was the KSW Flyweight champ and pulled off one of the best submissions of 2020 with her calf slicer counter kneebar against Luana Carolina in July.

Ā 

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Tanner Boser vs Ilir Latifi. Really like this pairing. Should be fun for what it is. Boserā€™s Canadian, 29 years old with a record of 19-7-1 and a mullet that looks like itā€™s been places and seen things. Heā€™s alright as a middle of the pack guy, had some good knockouts against the ham and eggers of the mid to bottom end of the Heavyweight ranks. But heā€™s faltered at the next level. He went the distance with both Ciryl Gane andĀ Andrei Arlovski in losing efforts. Heā€™s pretty average but far from the worst in that circus of a division. Latifiā€™s the boy though. Long before we adopted Gerald Meerschaert as the UKFF mascot of MMA, ā€˜Some Fuckerā€™ was that guy for stepping in against Mousasi on short notice that time. Iā€™ve had a soft spot for the big lump since. Heā€™s coming off 3 losses now, heā€™s 37 and heā€™s bounced around the weight classes. Letā€™s face it, heā€™s going nowhere as a Heavyweight, is he? Heā€™s 5ā€™8ā€, for fuckā€™s sake! Heā€™s as wide as he is tall. Looking like a Swedish, less angry version of Big John Fury. Iā€™d be chuffed just to see him get a couple of low level wins and retire, to be honest. Heā€™s had his moments as well, subbing OSP being the highlight. As long as they keep him at this level, thereā€™s actually some fun to be had with him against the tubby HW brawler types.

Ā 

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Francisco Trinaldo vs Muslim Salikhov then. I actually really like this pairing. Got a bit of a soft spot for both. Trinaldoā€™s been a bit of a gatekeeper for years now, mostly at Lightweight. You donā€™t think of him when you think of killers at 155 but you look back over his record and you see wins over the likes of Bobby Green, Jim Miller, Paul Felder, Yancy Medeiros, Ross Pearson etc. Heā€™s never been knocked out. Heā€™s 42 years old now but, even still, heā€™s on a 3 fight streak and just stopped Jai Herbert (Cage Warriors champ who was on a streak himself going in) in his last fight. Trinaldo donā€™t play. He missed weight for that fight though, and heā€™s moving up to 170 here. And Salikhov is one of the more overlooked badasses on the roster for me. 17-2 in MMA, has won his last 4 fights and 15 of his last 16. A really seasoned striker. Heā€™s nicknamed ā€˜King Of Kung Fuā€™, for fuckā€™s sake! He has a Kickboxing record of 185-13-1. Between Kickboxing and MMA heā€™s separated 88 men from consciousness! Like I said, Trinaldoā€™s never been knocked out but moving up in weight against a striker like this, at 42 years old, I donā€™t know. Good fight though and an intriguing clash of styles.

Ā 

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Makwan Amirkhani vs Kamuela Kirk. Late switch up here. Amirkhani was all set to face Nate Landwehr on this card, a fight a lot of people were looking forward to. Unfortunately, an injury took Landwehr out. Donā€™t know anything about this Kirk fella. Apparently heā€™s 11-4 and was on DWCS a couple of years ago but failed to get the contract. Heā€™s since racked up some wins in LFA and theyā€™ve called him up. Amirkhaniā€™s 16-5 and coming off a points loss to Edson Barboza back in October. Nearly all his wins came by submission but he did score an 8 second flying knee KO in his UFC debut against Andy Ogle years ago. He looked like a real prospect at one time and his likeable personality just added to it. One of those fighters you canā€™t help but want to see do well. Hasnā€™t exactly panned out though. Heā€™s had a bunch of injuries and was just never able to put a run together. The brief initial buzz around him fizzled out but I still like him and enjoy watching him fight. Disappointed Landwehrā€™s out but Iā€™ll give it a whirl.

Ā 

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Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones. Right then, this will probably be one of the fights of most interest on this card. Walesā€™ former Cage Warriors double champ Jones makes his second trip to the Octagon, after an unsuccessful debut in January. He lost, for the first time in his career, by decision against Mike Davis. He was 10-0 previously. On the plus side, it was a cracking fight that got FOTN so Jones still bagged an extra $50Gs on top of whatever his fight purse was. Iā€™m sure that first loss stung but that bonus will have sweetened the pill a little bit. He took the loss well and seems to have a great attitude so Iā€™m expecting heā€™ll have used it as a learning experience and will be coming back better. Heā€™s just turned 26 so heā€™s got a good few years in him yet. Alan Patrick could be tricky though, whether Jones is on point or not. Heā€™s 37 years old and coming off a couple of losses. It definitely appears to be a fight booked to rebuild Jones. The word ā€˜journeymanā€™ isnā€™t used in MMA as much as it is in Boxing but Patrick fits the description. Heā€™s 15-3, pushing 40, never been a contender but has beat the likes of Damir Hadzovic, Stevie Ray and John Makdessi over the years. Heā€™s a guy Jones should be beating at this stage but heā€™s not someone to overlook either.

Ā 

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Manon Fiorot vs Tabatha Ricci. Last minute change. Fiorot was supposed to fight Maryna Moroz here but thatā€™s off. Actually looking forward to seeing Fiorot back in action, to be fair. Iā€™d never heard of her before her UFC debut in January but she quickly caught my attention.

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She battered Victoria Leonardo and swarmed all over her for a second round stoppage. Granted, her opponent was an unknown but she treated her as such. It was enough to make me want to see more. Sheā€™s 31 years old, French, 6-1 with 5 knockouts and was the champion for the EFC promotion in South Africa. Her only loss to date was a split decision in her MMA debut against Leah McCourt. Ricci steps in on a matter of days notice. Sheā€™s 26 years old, Brazilian, unbeatenĀ at 5-0and is coming off a couple of finishes in LFA. Not ideal for either woman really but could be alright. Fiorot looked impressive in her last fight and Ricci could be a decent prospect.

Ā 

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Youssef Zalal vs Sean Woodson. Another darkhorse show stealer for me. Theyā€™ll probably never go that far but Iā€™ve really enjoyed watching both so far, the short time theyā€™ve been in the UFC. These are the kind of fights that keep me unable to just give up on checking the prelims. Zalalā€™s Moroccan, 24 years old with a record of 10-4 and 7 finishes. Coming off back-to-back losses which is obviously never good, but one of them was against Ilia Topuria and I think heā€™s one to watch so that loss mightnā€™t look so bad a year or two from now. Before those losses heā€™d gone 3-0 in his first 3 UFC fights. And Woodson is coming off a tremendous fight with Julian Erosa last June that nobody talked about. He got submitted towards the end but it was some scrap. Heā€™d looked good beating Kyle Bochniak in his UFC debut before that. I genuinely think this might be the sleeper on the card.

Ā 

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Claudio Puelles vs Jordan Leavitt. Should be worth a gander. Canā€™t really remember Puelles and a quick look at his record tells me why. Heā€™s barely fought over the last few years. He fought once in 2015, once in 2016, disappeared for 2 years, fought once in 2018, once in 2019 and has been inactive since. Whatā€™s he playing at? Heā€™s 9-2 overall now and coming off 2 wins. But nobody knows him because heā€™s never around. Heā€™s like that kid in your class whoā€™d attend school once in a blue moon and neednā€™t have bothered because you knew heā€™d piss off at dinnertime and be off for months again. Whatā€™s the point? Jordan Leavitt is reason enough to tune in though. Love watching him already. The mad Louis Spence mannerisms in his post-fight celebrations crack me up and itā€™s the last thing youā€™d expect from a guy who fights in a cage. Make no mistake though, heā€™s a dangerous little fucker.

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There he is killing Matt Wiman in his last fight in December. Just brutal. Wiman got released after that, what a way to go out. Hopefully heā€™s awake now, itā€™s been 5 months. On top of that, Leavittā€™s unbeaten. 8-0, 6 finishes. Still only 25 as well so heā€™s got time. Hopefully he makes another highlight reel out of Part Time Puelles here and he can keep rolling. Heā€™s in deep waters at 155 but thereā€™s plenty of fun fights to make for now without throwing him to the wolves.

Ā 

And thatā€™s that.Ā 

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Edited by wandshogun09
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really like this one, super excited for Jones/Patrick, hoping Mason can bounce back.

Amirkhani/Landwehr is gonna be bananas too.

Im fancying Sakai to turn over Rozenstruick in that main event. Interested to see how the bookies have it.

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Really nice little fight card here but it's tainted slightly by in my opinion a dull main event. The rest of the card is great though, surprised Hill and Ribas aren't on the main card though, they deserve to be higher up.

I'm sure there's loads of examples that I can't think of but when was the last time a UFC show was headlined by 2 people who are both coming off loses?

My mind has gone blank and I haven't looked it up yet. Can anyone think with out doing the research?

My first thoughtĀ was it might be a show involving Holly Holm. I'm sure she headlined coming off a loss against some one who was coming off a Cyborg loss.

As I typed this I just looked up Holm's record.

Valentina vs Holm headlined a show in July 2016 and they were both coming off loses. However that's not the fight I was thinking of. I thought it was a Megan Anderson type or Irene Aldana but neither of those fights match the criteria.

Can anyone think of another one (without googling at first)? I'm sure I am forgetting an obvious one.

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19 minutes ago, KJHenley said:

Conor and Cowboy lad.

Damn it, I knew it was an obvious one.

I did think it could involve Conor, I thought perhaps it wasĀ Him vs Diaz 2 as I wasn't 100% sure if Diaz took another fight after his win in the first fight but remembered neither of themĀ fought after it.

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Jesus Christ. That's the guts ripped out of it. Three heavyweight fights left on there instead, that could be decent or could be absolute plod fests. While three fights that, at least on paper, look to be can't miss fights, fall by the wayside. Disappointing.Ā 

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52 minutes ago, wandshogun09 said:

Updated the opening post with the pullouts and replacements. Barack Obamaā€™s stepped in against Todorovic.

Had to look up whom you were talking about there, and bloody hell - he really does look like him!

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