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UFC Rochester: Dos Anjos vs Lee - May 18 🇺🇸

Who wins and how?   

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Saturday 18th May. Rochester, New York gets this;


Rafael Dos Anjos vs Kevin Lee 

Neil Magny vs Vicente Luque 

Antônio Carlos Junior vs Ian Heinisch 

Aspen Ladd vs Sijara Eubanks

Zak Cummings vs Trevin Giles 

Patrick Cummins vs Ed Herman 

Mike Trizano vs Grant Dawson 

Megan Anderson vs Felicia Spencer 

Charles Oliveira vs Nik Lentz 

Danny Roberts vs Michel Pereira 

Julio Arce vs Julian Erosa 

Davi Ramos vs Austin Hubbard


There’ll be a few more fights added yet but that’s the meat and potatoes of it. MMAJunkie bout order, but I’ve got a feeling it’ll be reshuffled. 



Rafael Dos Anjos vs Kevin Lee is a quality fight. Two top lightweights fighting at 170. Seems odd but I like it. It’ll probably be a better actual fight because they won’t have had to cut so much weight. Both kind of have something to prove as well, so we should be getting healthier, more energetic, motivated and fired up versions of both men here. RDA in particular has had a rough go of it lately. He started off strong when he first moved up to welterweight in 2017, going 3-0 over Tarec Saffiedine, Neil Magny and Robbie Lawler. But he went winless in 2018, going 0-2 to Colby Covington and Kamaru Usman. And Lee comes into this fight off a pretty clear December points loss to Al Iaquinta in their rematch. The interesting thing here for me is, RDA’s recent losses have been when he’s come up against that grinding wrestler style. It seems to be the only chink in his armour. Now you have to be a pretty exceptional grappler to a) outwrestle and outwork RDA, and b) stay out of trouble when you get him down. But that’s where the intrigue is in this matchup for me because Lee has shown he can fight that way if he needs to (see the Barboza fight). The question here is can he make it work the way Covington and Usman did? I’m not so sure but him going up to 170 could factor into that as well. He might be coming in stronger and his already strong grappling might be even more effective. Interesting fight. I’d like to see RDA win though. Someone as good as him shouldn’t be losing 3 on the bounce. 



Neil Magny vs Vicente Luque is reportedly the co-main. I like it. Magny got stopped by Santiago Ponzinibbio in his last fight in November so he’s trying to redeem himself here. He’s a good fighter, solid all-around technician and has wins over Carlos Condit, Johny Hendricks, Hector Lombard and Kelvin Gastelum. With a resume like that you’d think he’d be in the contender mix by now but he’s been derailed a couple of times in crucial fights (Ponzy/RDA). It seems like every time he gets a big win, he falls at the next hurdle. It’s Luque that draws me to this one though. I’ve been singing his praises for a bit in these threads as a bit of a darkhorse and he’s finally starting to make a bit of noise in the division now. He’s still only 27 years old, BJJ purple-belt and has knockout power in his hands. He’s exciting to watch, has a 15-6-1 MMA record and has won his last 4 inside the distance. Most of his wins have been over tough guys who aren’t big names though like Niko Price, Chad Laprise, Jalin Turner, Belal Muhammad. These aren’t top level guys but they’re all hard, durable scrappers and Luque stopped them all. And he has a stoppage win over Thiago Santos earlier in his career! He comes into this fight on a high, having just beat Bryan Barberena in a absolute war that is, IMO, currently sitting as the 2019 FOTY so far. This is a really good fight and I’m chuffed that Luque is getting a little  bit of spotlight shined on him. 



Antonio Carlos Junior vs Ian Heinisch will be worth checking out just to see Junior in action. Got to love Shoeface. One of my favourite grapplers to watch in MMA at the moment. He was the TUF Brazil 3 winner as a heavyweight, now fights at middleweight. He’s 10-2-1 in MMA and has won 5 in a row with submissions over Eric Spicely (whose grappling Eddie Bravo was raving about on Rogan’s podcast before), Jack Marshman and Tim Boetsch. He’s a BJJ black-belt with a load of gold medals to his name and seems an all-round lovely chap to boot. A lot of these high level Brazilian BJJ masters seem like top blokes, don’t they? Yeah there’ll be exceptions like Palhares but Maia, Jacare, the Nogueira brothers, Shoeface, all gents. Heinisch I’m less familiar with. He was supposed to fight Tom Breese on the London show but Breese pulled out last minute. He’s 30, 12-1 with a win over another ex TUF Brazil winner Cezar ‘Mutante’ Ferreira in his last fight. Not too shabby that. 



Aspen Ladd vs Sijara Eubanks 2 could be decent. A rematch of a 2017 fight in Invicta, which Ladd won by decision. Ladd has some real potential, IMO. She’s 24 years old, a BJJ purple-belt, undefeated in MMA at 7-0 with 6 finishes. Absolutely battered veteran Tonya Evinger on the Khabib-McGregor undercard in October. Finished her in around 3 minutes. Bare in mind Evinger survived into the 3rd round against fucking Cyborg! It was quite an impressive statement and bagged her a Performance Of The Night bonus. She’s also 8-1 as an amateur with 6 finishes. So she’s 15-1 with her amateur and pro fights combined, with 12 finishes. Only loss was a decision in the amateurs to Cynthia Calvillo. She’s got something about her. She was supposed to fight Holly Holm at UFC 235 in March but Holm was pulled to face Amanda Nunes for the belt. I wasn’t sure she was quite ready for someone as seasoned as Holm so I actually prefer this. Eubanks is a 33 years old, a BJJ black-belt with a 4-2 MMA record, 3-0 as an amateur (her fights on TUF). Not too high on Eubanks myself. She’s not terrible but I don’t see her climbing too high. And she’s already missed weight on 2 occasions that could’ve cost her big opportunities - once taking her out of the TUF tournament finals and the other her last fight where she beat Modafferi but came in heavy and probably fucked herself out of a potential title shot. She’s got to sort that out. She’s back at 135 here so hopefully that won’t be an issue. 



Zak Cummings vs Trevin Giles doesn’t feel like it should be on the main card but we’ll see. I don’t mind Cummings. Nothing flashy or spectacular about what he does but he’s a good ground fighter with a respectable 22-6 record. Most of his losses are to tough opposition as well like Ponzinibbio, Gunnar Nelson, Tim Kennedy etc. He’s a decent gatekeeper type. Experienced and it takes a certain quality of fighter to beat him. If this fight stays on the main card though, Giles will be why. He sounds a bit of a prospect. 26 years old, 11-0 with 10 finishes, 2-0 in the UFC so far. He hasn’t fought since December 2017 though. He took time out to become a police officer. Now he’s back. Bossman Giles. 



Patrick Cummins vs Ed Herman feels like a real old school throwback fight, even though Cummins hasn’t been around that long. It’s Ed Herman. There aren’t many guys left on the roster from that early TUF, Spike TV Fight Night era. ‘Short Fuse’ was on TUF 3, for fuck’s sake. The Tito Ortiz vs Ken Shamrock season. That’s how long this bastard has been around. His career is circling the plug hole now though. He’s 38 with a 23-14-1 record and he’s lost 4 of his last 5. Hasn’t won a fight in over 3 years and the headkick KO he suffered against Krylov was one of the most brutal you’ll ever see. I thought he might be dead when it happened. Legit. I’m not joking. He looked deceased. Cummins is also 38 and on a 2 fight losing skid but, at 10-6, he doesn’t have the miles on him Herman does. Still been stopped a bunch though. Could be an ugly, hard to watch fight this. 



Mike Trizano vs Grant Dawson is a fight where I’m vague on both men. I know Trizano slightly more due to him winning TUF, the season with DC and Stipe coaches that I did actually stick with for a bit. He’s 8-0 with 4 finishes. New Jersey guy so he’s a local on this card. Seemed alright from what I recall (not much). Dawson I’m drawing a total blank on but he’s 13-1 with 12 finishes, mostly subs. 25 years old, was on Dana’s Contender thingybob and won his UFC debut on the JDS vs Lewis undercard in March. 



Megan Anderson vs Felicia Spencer is an interesting one. We haven’t seen enough of Megan Anderson yet but what we have seen, I think there’s reason to be optimistic. She’s 9-3 with 7 finishes, former Invicta 145lb champion. She got exposed a bit in the grappling in her UFC debut by the more experienced Holly Holm but she was giving Holm all kinds of issues early on the feet, which I was kind of taken aback by as that’s usually Holm’s realm. You don’t usually see Holm turn into a wrestler but she was that night. Anderson is so tall and lanky, she’s huge for that 145 weightclass and I think Holm was having trouble with that. In her next fight, Anderson was all over Cat Zingano but that ended abruptly with her toenail TKOing Cat’s eyeball. We need to see more. Hopefully we get a proper read on her in this one. Felicia Spencer is making her UFC debut here. 28 years old from Montreal. She’s unbeaten at 6-0 with 4 finishes. Black-belts in both Taekwondo and BJJ and won the Invicta featherweight title in her last fight in November.



Charles Oliveira vs Nik Lentz 3 is listed on MMAJunkie but I can’t find it confirmed anywhere else. I hope it’s happening, Junkie are usually always reliable. These guys have already had 2 fantastic fights, got FOTN both times, and it’s currently 1-0-1 to Oliveira. The first fight in 2011 ended in controversy. Oliveira tapped Lentz with a 2nd round rear naked choke but it was overturned to a No Contest due to an illegal knee which led to the finish. They rematched in 2015 and had an even better fight and Oliveira got him with a guillotine choke in the 3rd round. Should be another corker. They just seem to match up perfectly. And they’re both on good form at the moment too. Lentz has won his last 2, and Oliveira has rattled off 4 submissions in a row. Can they go 3-0 for FOTN bonuses? 



Danny Roberts vs Michel Pereira is ***WAND’S ONE TO WATCH*** this time. I can’t wait to see this. Roberts is British, 16-4 record. Decent enough with knockout wins over Jim Wallhead and Oliver Enkamp on his record. It’s UFC newcomer Michel Pereira that makes this must-see though. If the name doesn’t ring bells this might...


Yeah, he’s that lunatic we were on about before. The real life Tekken character. The UFC signed him and this is his debut. He’s Brazilian, 25 years old and Sherdog has him at 21-9-0-2. MMAJunkie has his record at 7-3 though for some reason? Whatever. This could be a lot of fun. Not expecting him to become a contender or anything but there’s always room on the roster for a nutter like this. 



Julio Arce vs Julian Erosa is another vague one for me. Arce is 15-3 and has a submission win over Daniel Teymur and a decision over Dan Ige. Not bad at all. Erosa goes by the nickname ‘Juicy J’. OK. He’s 22-7 with 19 finishes but is coming off back-to-back defeats and also has a loss to Paddy Twatface Pimblett. He’s no good to me then. Team Arce! Yeah, the Arce team. 



Davi Ramos vs Austin Hubbard might be alright. I’ve quite liked the little I’ve seen of Ramos. He’s Brazilian, 9-2 record, a BJJ black-belt and has submitted John Gunther, Nick Hein and Chris Gruetzemacher in his last 3 fights and looked impressive doing it. Hubbard is making his UFC debut. He’s 27 years old, 10-2 record and trains at Elevation Fight Team. 


That’s about it. 

Edited by wandshogun09

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2 hours ago, wandshogun09 said:

That Michel Pereira nutcase is debuting on this card. Fighting Danny Roberts. 

Will it make the main card?

I'm happy to see Ed Herman on the card. TUF 3 is the reason I first got into the UFC as I was channel hopping and saw Ken Shamrock was on a weekly show on Bravo, I've been following UFC ever since, as a result, I have a soft spot for anyone from that season.

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I’d like to see the Danny Roberts vs Michel Pereira and Megan Anderson vs Felicia Spencer fights bumped to the main card, replacing Cummings vs Giles and Cummins vs Herman. Actually, Oliveira vs Lentz 3 deserves higher billing as well. Like I say, the bout order might be jumbled up yet. 

Probably doesn’t matter really though. We usually get most of the prelims on BT anyway. 

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